Why I’m Backing Zamir White to Exceed His Player Props in Week 1

If you’re looking for a sneaky prop bet heading into Week 1, Zamir White of the Las Vegas Raiders is flying under the radar with two player props I’m excited about: over 14.5 rushing attempts (-120 on BetMGM) and over 55.5 rushing yards (-114 on FanDuel). Here’s why both look like solid plays.

In 2023, when Josh Jacobs missed four games, White stepped up and exceeded both of these lines in each of those contests. Over that span, White averaged an impressive 17.2 rushing attempts and 81 rushing yards per game, showing that when given the opportunity, he can carry the workload. The Raiders clearly trust him to handle the ground game in Jacobs’ absence, which bodes well for both props.

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Let’s dig into the numbers a bit more. The over 14.5 rushing attempts line feels conservative given his past usage. The Raiders leaned heavily on White during those games without Jacobs, and he averaged well over the line at 17.2 carries per game. Against teams that struggle to defend the run, it wouldn’t be a stretch to see him get into the high teens or even 20+ carries in a game where the Raiders want to establish a run-heavy approach.

The over 55.5 rushing yards line is another that’s well within reach based on White’s past performance. Averaging 81 yards per game in those four games without Jacobs, White showed a consistent ability to churn out yards when the offense was built around him. With an average well above the current line, this prop looks promising, especially if he continues to get the volume we’ve seen before.

What’s also important to consider is the Raiders’ game plan. They’ve historically been a run-first team, and without Jacobs, White will be the focal point of the offense. Given his previous success and the matchup he’s facing, this is a prime spot for him to exceed both the rushing attempts and yards props.

My Opinion: Backing Zamir White to go over 14.5 rushing attempts and 55.5 rushing yards looks like a strong play based on his previous performance without Jacobs in 2023. With an average of 17.2 carries and 81 rushing yards in those situations, I’m confident he’ll be heavily involved in the game plan, making both of these props worth a serious look.