Why I’m Backing Dak Prescott to Go Over 258.5 Passing Yards This Week

This week, I’m really liking Dak Prescott to surpass 258.5 passing yards ($1000 FREE on Underdog) , and here’s why.

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Recent Trends and Matchup

Dak has gone over this mark in three of his five games this season, showing consistency in racking up passing yards when needed. This week, he faces the Detroit Lions, a team that has been very generous to opposing quarterbacks. The Lions have already surrendered 317 passing yards to Matthew Stafford and 395 to Geno Smith earlier this season. Detroit’s defense ranks near the bottom of the league, allowing the third-most passing yards per game, which positions Dak in a favorable spot to rack up yards through the air.

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Game Script and Defensive Injuries

Another factor working in Dak’s favor is the game script. With Dallas’ defense dealing with significant injuries, it’s unlikely they’ll be able to keep Detroit off the scoreboard. This means Prescott will likely have to throw more to keep pace, leading to a higher volume of passing attempts. When the game turns into a shootout, Dak has proven he can rise to the occasion and move the ball effectively through the air.

Big Play Potential

The Lions are also vulnerable to big plays, allowing the fourth-most completions of 20+ yards this season. Prescott’s connection with receivers like CeeDee Lamb and Brandin Cooks could result in multiple chunk gains, pushing him well over the 258.5-yard mark. Detroit’s secondary has shown holes, and Dak has the weapons to exploit them.

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My Opinion: Between Detroit’s poor pass defense, the expected high-scoring nature of the game, and Dak’s proven ability to air it out when necessary, I’m confident he’ll go over 258.5 (Underdog) passing yards this week.