Why I’m Backing Ja Morant Over 6.5 Assists This Game

Ja Morant has been consistently productive as a playmaker, making his over 6.5 assists line an appealing bet at -120 on BetMGM. Let’s break down the key reasons why this play has potential.

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High Volume of Potential Assists

Morant is generating significant playmaking opportunities, averaging 14 potential assists per game. This metric shows that he’s consistently creating chances for his teammates, and converting even half of these opportunities would put him well over this 6.5 mark. His passing volume and involvement in the Grizzlies’ offense make him a reliable option for assists, especially when he’s handling the ball as much as he has been.

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Recent Performance Trends

Morant has gone over 6.5 assists in three of his last four games, displaying a consistent trend of hitting this mark. His role as Memphis’s primary playmaker puts him in a great position to continue this trend, especially as the team relies on him to initiate the offense and distribute effectively.

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Matchup Against Milwaukee’s Defense

While the Milwaukee Bucks allow an average of 7.94 assists per game to point guards, ranking around the middle of the league, this matchup isn’t a major deterrent for Morant’s playmaking. With his quick drives to the basket and ability to draw defenders, he often creates open looks for his teammates even in tighter matchups. Milwaukee’s focus on protecting the paint could actually help open up kick-out opportunities for Morant’s shooters, providing him with ample chances to rack up assists.

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My Opinion: With his recent form, high potential assists, and a solid matchup against Milwaukee, Ja Morant is in a great spot to exceed 6.5 assists this game.