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Why I’m Backing Brock Purdy Over 14.5 Rushing Yards

Brock Purdy’s rushing line is set at a modest 14.5 yards, and I believe he’s in a good position to clear it this week. Let’s break down why.

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Season Trends

Purdy has hit this line in 7 of 11 games this season. While his average dips slightly when Christian McCaffrey is in the lineup (14.8 yards per game), he has exceeded this line in 5 of 8 games without McCaffrey, averaging 26.3 yards per game. This suggests he’s more likely to take off and run when his safety blanket isn’t available.

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Matchup Insights

The Bears have done a decent job containing rushing quarterbacks but have struggled more against traditional pocket passers. Interestingly, this could work in Purdy’s favor, as the Bears often lose containment on QBs who aren’t primarily rushing threats. Purdy’s ability to scramble when plays break down should help him surpass this line.

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My Opinion: Purdy’s rushing ability in the right circumstances makes this line attractive. With or without McCaffrey, Purdy’s rushing upside is worth backing here. (Deposit Match on UNDERDOG)